Neurorehabilitation and Neural Repair

Background Mirror therapy (MT)-specifically paradigms using mirror visual feedback (MVF)-is widely used in neurorehabilitation; however, mechanistic implementations vary substantially in movement content, rhythmicity and attentional demands. This protocol describes an acute mechanistic, within-participant fNIRS screening study designed to compare three prespecified upper-limb mirror-therapy task paradigms and to quantify associated subjective experience after each condition in healthy adults during a single visit. Methods and analysis This is a single-centre, within-participant, randomised crossover study conducted at Wuhan Wuchang Hospital (Wuhan, China). Healthy adults aged 18-35 years will complete three task conditions once each in a counterbalanced order using a 3*3 Latin-square scheme: UMT1 (task-oriented rhythmic functional movement), UMT2 (open-ended free movement with auditory control), and UMT3 (non-functional rhythmic movement). fNIRS will be acquired using the NirSmart-6000A system during a standardised block design. The primary outcome is ROI-level HbO activation quantified as GLM-derived {beta} estimates within the prespecified primary ROIs (bilateral SM1/M1 and bilateral PMC). Secondary outcomes include ROI-level windowed {Delta}HbO (5-20 s post-onset relative to the immediately preceding rest; descriptive only), ROI-level {Delta}HbR, and post-condition subjective ratings (illusion, immersion, confusion and fatigue; 1-7 Likert). Condition effects will be analysed using linear mixed-effects models with fixed effects for condition and period and prespecified multiplicity-adjusted pairwise contrasts. Ethics and dissemination Ethics approval was obtained from the Ethics Committee of Wuchang Hospital Affiliated to Wuhan University of Science and Technology (Approval No.: 2025-112-01; approved on 2025-08-21). The study is expected to be minimal risk. Findings will be disseminated through publication of this protocol manuscript and subsequent results manuscripts and conference presentations. Trial registration number Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2600116634). This study is conducted as a prespecified mechanistic sub-study under the overarching registered project.

Background: Aerobic exercise is recommended during stroke rehabilitation to improve cardiorespiratory fitness and support recovery; however, participation rates remain low. While institutional and system-level barriers have been widely examined, less is known about how individual patient factors influence engagement in aerobic exercise during rehabilitation. Objectives: We aimed to determine whether depressive symptoms, apathy, self-efficacy and outcome expectations for exercise, perceived barriers, or past exercise history were associated with aerobic exercise participation in stroke rehabilitation. Methods: In this prospective cohort sub-study, adults admitted to in- or out-patient stroke rehabilitation at three urban hospitals completed validated questionnaires assessing depressive symptoms, apathy, exercise self-efficacy, outcome expectations for exercise, perceived barriers to being active, and premorbid exercise history. Participants were separated into two groups for analysis: those who completed aerobic exercise during rehabilitation and those who did not. Equivalence testing and between-group comparisons were performed. Results: Sixty-two participants were enrolled; 16 participated in aerobic exercise and 46 did not. Groups were not equivalent on any individual-level factors. Compared to non-participants, those who performed aerobic exercise had significantly higher depressive symptom scores (p=0.0025) and lower self-efficacy for exercise (p=0.0087). Non-participants demonstrated significantly higher apathy (p=0.0007). No significant differences were found for outcome expectations, perceived barriers, or exercise history. Conclusion: Depressive symptoms and lower self-efficacy did not impede aerobic exercise participation during rehabilitation. Increased apathy, however, was associated with non-participation. Findings highlight the need for individually tailored aerobic exercise prescriptions that consider motivational and affective factors to optimize engagement during stroke rehabilitation.

Background: Storage symptoms after stroke-isolated urgency, urgency with frequency, and isolated frequency are common but traditionally attributed to a single overactive bladder mechanism via suprapontine disinhibition. However, clinical heterogeneity in symptom presentation suggests distinct underlying mechanisms. We aimed to characterize the neural substrates of three storage symptom subtypes after stroke using comprehensive lesion-symptom mapping. Methods: We prospectively evaluated 1,498 consecutive subacute stroke patients admitted for inpatient rehabilitation (1,105 men, 73.8%; median age 61 years). Storage symptoms were classified into three subtypes: isolated urgency (n=109), urgency with frequency (n=32), and isolated frequency (n=19). Multivariable logistic regression models with Bonferroni correction identified independent predictors across demographic, clinical, white matter hyperintensity (WMH), brain atrophy, and lesion location variables. Results: The three subtypes demonstrated largely distinct sets of independent predictors. The left genu of the corpus callosum (aOR=20.06, 95% CI 7.78-51.74, P<0.001) and the inferior frontal gyrus (aOR=3.48, 95% CI 1.81-6.67, P<0.001) were independently associated with isolated urgency and survived Bonferroni correction, together with a right IFG-insula synergistic effect (OR=21.46, 95% CI 10.49-43.88, P<0.001). Urgency with frequency was associated with a broad fronto-cingulate network-the IFG (aOR=11.45, 95% CI 3.10-42.33, P<0.001, surviving Bonferroni correction) and the ACC (aOR=11.53, 95% CI 2.40-55.49, P=0.002) with diffuse right-hemisphere dominance, older age and brain atrophy. Isolated frequency was associated with anterior corona radiata involvement (aOR=5.46, 95% CI 1.92-15.54, P=0.002) and male sex (aOR=10.62, 95% CI 1.36-82.98, P=0.024), though none reached the strict Bonferroni threshold. Conclusions: These findings identify three mechanistically distinct post-stroke storage symptom subtypes with separable neural substrates, lateralization profiles, and clinical determinants. The triple dissociation across subtypes supports a discrete pathway model over the traditional unitary OAB framework, providing a neuroanatomically grounded basis for subtype-stratified treatment Keywords: storage symptoms; subacute stroke; hemispheric lateralization; structural synergy; lesion-syndrome mapping

Impaired gait performance and stability is a key symptom often defining disease outcome in people with Multiple Sclerosis. Step-by-step foot placement control in response to variations in the center-of-mass kinematic state is a crucial gait stability mechanism, especially in the mediolateral direction. Even though it is known that people with Multiple Sclerosis are at an increased risk of falling, step-by-step foot placement control remains to be characterized in this population. Here, we explored characteristic foot placement control in ten people with early stage Multiple Sclerosis, compared to 21 controls walking at a similar average gait speed, during 1-minute steady-state treadmill walking. Kinematic data were analyzed using a linear feedback model that correlated foot placement with the center-of-mass kinematic state during the preceding swing phase. People with Multiple Sclerosis demonstrated step-by-step foot placement control in both the mediolateral and anteroposterior directions. No differences were found in foot placement precision between groups. However, foot placement responses to variations in center-of-mass velocity proved stronger in people with Multiple Sclerosis. Moreover, the contribution of mediolateral center-of-mass velocity feedback to the control mechanism was higher in people with Multiple Sclerosis as compared to neurologically healthy controls. Our results suggest that foot placement control is still retained in early clinically evident stages of Multiple Sclerosis, but is realized through differently weighted sensory feedback control.

Purpose: Lower-limb prosthesis use involves interacting physical, psychosocial, and device-related outcomes that may not be fully captured by conventional clinical assessment. This study aimed to develop and evaluate a stakeholder-informed framework of outcome domains relevant to meaningful everyday prosthesis use. Materials and Methods: A mixed-methods participatory design comprised a structured synthesis of selected clinically relevant content from five established patient-reported outcome measures; semi-structured interviews and importance and actionability ratings with 18 contributors (12 prosthesis users, four clinicians, and two industrial partners); and integration of the synthesis, qualitative, and rating findings. Interview records were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis, and ratings were analysed descriptively. Results: The resulting framework comprised four interrelated domains: Mobility, Physical Function, Psychosocial Wellbeing, and Prosthesis Experience. Mobility showed the clearest convergence across stakeholder perspectives. Prosthesis users showed the largest importance actionability gap for Prosthesis Experience (4.5 vs 3.0), whereas clinicians showed the largest gap for Psychosocial Wellbeing (5.0 vs 3.0). Interviews highlighted day-to-day variability in prosthesis use and the influence of confidence, fatigue, comfort, environmental conditions, social context, and device usability. Conclusions: Meaningful outcome assessment in prosthetic rehabilitation should extend beyond mobility alone to consider physical function, psychosocial wellbeing, and prosthesis experience within everyday contexts. The proposed framework provides a stakeholder-informed foundation for multidimensional outcome assessment in prosthetic rehabilitation.

We propose two new tests to detect drug effects (DE) in trials of one to very few patients followed during two periods (before and after initiation of a treatment). Both methods use longitudinal natural history data to inform the estimation of each patient's DE. The first method uses a non linear mixed effect model (NLMEM) reflecting an expected natural history with a hypothetical drug effect, to estimate the Conditional Distribution of the Drug Effect (CDDE). The second method trains a Pareto Depth Analysis (PDA) algorithm, a machine learning based approach based on outlier detection, that we implement using data simulated under the NLMEM. We evaluated the two tests with a simulation study. We used data from the PROSPAX study in Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCAs, to derive a NLMEM for the Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia score. The CDDE method provided controlled type I error and, in some scenarios, adequate corrected power, though sensitivity analyses showed vulnerability to misspecification. The PDA method demonstrated lower statistical power except with high score precision. These results highlight different strategies for quantifying treatment effects in ultra rare, patient' specific trials. They can inform methodological design for future ARCA precision therapies.

Purpose: Identifying head impacts linked to brain injury in sport remains challenging. Instrumented mouthguards quantify head-impact kinematics, and finite element (FE) modelling can transform these data into brain strain estimates, which may better reflect injury risk than kinematics alone. Here, we examined associations between mouthguard-measured kinematics, FE-derived strain, and plasma brain injury biomarker GFAP following head impacts. Methods: We analysed 41 video-verified impacts from male Australian football players, including 22 assessed for concussion (17 diagnosed) and 19 unassessed. Instrumented mouthguards recorded peak linear acceleration (PLA), peak rotational acceleration, and peak rotational velocity (PRV). Brain strain was estimated using the Imperial College FE brain model, and plasma GFAP was quantified using Simoa. Biomechanical-GFAP associations were examined using Spearman correlations and segmented regression. Results: For impacts overall, plasma GFAP was moderately correlated with PLA ({rho}=0.46, 95% CI: 0.20-0.66), PRV ({rho}=0.53, 95% CI: 0.20-0.78), and strain ({rho}=0.60, 95% CI: 0.32-0.80). Associations were stronger within concussion cases for strain ({rho}=0.86, 95% CI: 0.58-0.97) and PRV ({rho}=0.64, 95% CI: 0.15-0.93). Piecewise regression identified strain levels above which strain-GFAP relationships steepened across the whole-brain and brainstem. In concussion cases, supra-threshold brainstem strain was associated with greater symptoms. Conclusion: Finite element brain strain may better predict brain injury risk following a sport-related head impact than peak acceleration metrics. Stronger associations with plasma GFAP, particularly among concussion cases, and evidence of a biomechanical threshold, support the use of biomarker-informed strain measures in future risk modelling and the development of brain injury screening thresholds.

Background The time trend in long-term survival after a stroke is to some extent unknow due to (relatively) short follow up periods in available data. The objective of this study is to identify and quantify differences in long-term stroke survival in Sweden between men and women and patients with different attained educational levels, comparing two time-periods, 2000-2009 and 2010-2022. Methods This study employs total population Swedish register data pertaining to hospital-based care and mortality due to stroke for the period 2000-2022 in order to estimate survival (all-cause mortality) after ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, respectively, and pertaining to attained educational level. Kaplan-Meier survival functions are estimated stratifying for time-period, sex and educational level. Cox regressions are employed to quantify mortality hazard ratios between the strata. Age is taken into account in complementary analyses (supplement). Results Taking only time-period (2000-2009 vs 2010-2022) into account resulted in significantly higher survival in the second period for ischaemic stroke patients (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.83-0.84), while no significant difference could be detected for haemorrhagic stroke. Stratifying for sex showed that men gained more than women in terms of reduced mortality hazard rate between the periods. Further stratifying by educational level and estimating survival separately for men and women showed that, for both men and women, patients with the lowest education were relatively worse off (compared to patients with higher education) in the second period. Further analyses, taking age into account, reversed the relative hazard ratio between men and women, but corroborated the result that low education is associated with poorer outcome than high education. Conclusions The results suggest that there are considerable differences in expected long-term survival after stroke between the sexes, but that this may be due to differences in age between the sexes at the time of stroke. Moreover, lower educational level is significantly associated with lower long-time survival.

Objective: Published P300-speller fusion schemes fix prior trust regardless of trial reliability; we tested whether a reliability estimate improves on it. Methods: We reanalyzed 3,373 archived P300-speller selections from 47 people with ALS (BigP3BCI). A fair, matched-search-space comparison, tuning both a fixed weight and an adaptive policy out-of-fold, was evaluated across 22 evaluable language-model priors up to 46.7B parameters. Two representative priors, GPT-2 and a classical 5-gram, additionally received detailed naive and mechanistic analyses. Results: No prior's 95% CI favored adaptive fusion under the fair comparison, despite unexploited oracle headroom at every scale. Under GPT-2, the naive comparison was significantly worse for adaptive fusion; both anchors converged to a degenerate or near-degenerate fair-comparison solution. For the representative anchors, three further controllers failed to convert that headroom into benefit; the fixed-fused posterior's output probability outperformed the best controller for flagging errors (2.8- to 3.8-fold enrichment). Conclusion: A tuned fixed weight is a difficult-to-beat default across the tested scale range; reliability estimation gave no deployable adaptive advantage. Significance: Adaptive weighting should be validated against a fairly tuned baseline across model families and scales; in this dataset, the fused output's confidence identified high-risk selections better than the tested purpose-built ranker.

Background: On-call clinicians frequently report the anecdotal impression of 'theme shifts' during which specific acute neurological diagnoses appear to cluster. Whether such clustering reflects a statistically true and reproducible phenomenon has not been systematically investigated; the present paper examines seasonality and temporal clustering within six different acute neurological conditions. Methods: In this retrospective, single-center cohort study, we identified all patients admitted to a tertiary neurological department between July 2016 and June 2026 with acute unilateral vestibulopathy, cerebral artery dissection, generalized epileptic seizures, primary intracerebral hemorrhage, peripheral facial nerve palsy, or transient global amnesia (TGA) (n = 2,140). Monthly and seasonal distributions were assessed using chi-squared goodness-of-fit and cosinor analysis. Short-term temporal clustering was tested by Monte Carlo permutation across time windows from 24 hours to 90 days, and endogenous cluster dynamics were characterized using Hawkes self-exciting point process modeling. Results: Admissions for generalized epileptic seizures showed a statistically significant deviation from a uniform monthly distribution with a winter distribution (p<0.001 and q = 0.002), and a significant temporal clustering across time windows from 72 hours to 90 days (all q < 0.05). Peripheral facial nerve palsy presented significant clustering at the 90-day window (q = 0.029) and TGA at 60-day time window (q = 0.041) without seasonality; the diagnostic groups of acute unilateral vestibulopathy, cerebral artery dissection and primary intracerebral hemorrhage showed neither seasonality nor clustering after correction for multiple comparison. No diagnostic group showed clustering within a 24-hour window, statistically significant self-excitation in Hawkes process modelling, or a significant linear trend in monthly case counts over the study period. Conclusion: The anecdotal impression of diagnostic 'theme shifts' among on-call neurologists appears to have a measurable basis, although clustering is confined to specific conditions and rather on a time scale of weeks to months. Generalized epileptic seizures were the only diagnostic group that uniquely combined seasonality with temporal clustering, suggesting a shared trigger, while facial palsy and TGA showed episodic, yet non-seasonal clustering.

Objective and scalable approaches for detecting subtle motor impairment in isolated REM sleep behavior disorder (iRBD), a prodromal stage of Parkinson's disease, remain limited. We investigated whether markerless motion capture from single RGB-camera videos can identify gait abnormalities in people living with iRBD and provide interpretable digital biomarkers. We retrospectively analyzed 93 standardized walking videos from three clinical sites. Human pose estimation extracted 12 body markers and 14 kinematic time series. Thirty-five machine learning approaches classified healthy controls (HC) and people with iRBD. The Movement Disorder Society Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale Part 3 (MDS-UPDRS III) served as the clinical baseline. The best-performing model (tsfresh+XGBoost) achieved an AUROC of 0.739, significantly outperforming the MDS-UPDRS III sum score when trained on data from all three sites. Harmonized multi-site training improved performance. SHAP identified hip-related temporal features as key contributors, which differed between groups and showed stronger associations with regional dopaminergic deficits than clinical scores. Single-camera gait analysis may provide scalable digital biomarkers for low-cost screening and monitoring of prodromal PD.

Background: Mutations in leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) are the most common genetic risk factor for Parkinson's disease (PD). G2019S, the most common pathogenic variant, has been linked to milder motor symptoms, but the effects of other LRRK2 variants on disease trajectory remain incompletely characterized. R1441G, the second most common pathogenic variant, co-occurs with the PD risk variant M1646T on a shared haplotype. Whether this haplotype confers a distinct rate of motor progression has not been established. Methods: We analyzed up to 12 years of longitudinal data from 603 participants in the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) with PD and available whole-genome sequencing data: 394 sporadic PD, 169 G2019S carriers, 20 R1441G+M1646T carriers, and 20 M1646T carriers. Motor symptom progression (MDS-UPDRS III) was assessed using linear mixed-effects models with genotype-by-time interactions, adjusted for age at onset, disease duration at baseline, sex, race, baseline score, and levodopa equivalent daily dose. Results: R1441G+M1646T carriers exhibited 76% slower progression in OFF-state MDS-UPDRS III than sporadic PD (0.50 vs. 2.04 points/year; {beta}=-1.54 [95% CI: -2.48, -0.60]; p=0.001). G2019S carriers exhibited 26% slower progression (1.52 points/year; {beta}=-0.52 [-0.99, -0.06]; p=0.03). M1646T carriers did not differ from sporadic PD (p=0.60). Slower progression in R1441G+M1646T carriers was characterized by attenuated bradykinesia (64% slower; p=0.008), axial decline (76% slower; p=0.002), and a lack of orofacial symptom progression (p<0.001). R1441G+M1646T carriers also exhibited 55% slower self-reported motor decline (MDS-UPDRS II; p=0.04) Conclusions: R1441G+M1646T carriers exhibit substantially slower motor progression than sporadic PD while M1646T carriers do not.

Abstract: Objective: Post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) is a common sequela of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Research indicates that individuals with PTE tend to experience greater cognitive difficulties compared to those with TBI alone. However, it is plausible that a distinct cognitive profile exists that distinguishes between TBI cases with and without PTE. We aimed to identify longitudinal changes in cognitive measures among TBI patients to better assess the changes associated with developing PTE. Setting: Outpatient. Participants: Prospective subjects who had suffered TBI within 6 months post-injury (TBI-6M, n=32), retrospective subjects with pre-existing PTE diagnoses (PTE, n=20), and healthy control subjects (HC, n=41). Design: We examined cognitive performance for TBI patients within 6 months post-injury, then again within 12 months (TBI-12M, n=26), and within 18-months (TBI-18M, n=25), and compared this with cognitive performance among HC and PTE. Main Measures: Cognitive tests administered yielded 15 test components for analysis. We utilized linear mixed effects modeling to examine cohort-level differences cognitive function. Results: 11/15 tests showed a significant performance deficit in the PTE subjects compared to HC. TBI-6M was not significantly different from the PTE subjects; with time, 9/15 tests showed some degree of recovery in TBI subjects. Tests for information processing speed/working memory and executive function showed strong recovery (TBI-6M vs. TBI-18M, SDMT written: p<0.0001, SDMT oral and COWAT: p<0.001). Tests for visual attention/working memory also showed a smaller but significant recovery (TBI-18M vs. PTE, p<0.05). By contrast, tests for verbal memory [HVLT-R Delayed Recall] showed chronic impairment in TBI (TBI-18M vs HC, p<0.0001). TBI subjects generally trend towards recovery in cognitive performance post-TBI. Conclusions: Information processing speed/working memory are strong indicators for TBI recovery, while auditory learning/memory shows chronic impairment. The stagnation of recovery in cognitive domains typically characterized by robust recovery may correlate with an elevated risk of developing PTE.

Purpose. Prognostic assessments after acute brain injury are largely narrative, and how prognostic language relates to subsequent care has not been measured at scale. We quantified where it is written and its association with a subsequent code-status limitation. Materials and Methods. Multidatabase observational study of adults with acute brain injury or a related neurologic emergency, using MIMIC-IV (2008-2019; discharge summaries and radiology reports) and a timestamped MIMIC-III cohort (notes and code-status orders). The exposure was documented prognostic language; outcomes were its association with a subsequent full-code-to-limitation transition, note-stream location, and completeness of documented command-following relative to structured Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) motor scores. Results. Among 31,993 admissions (27,054 patients; median age, 69 years; 54.9% male), prognostic language in the timestamped cohort (MIMIC-III) was associated with a subsequent code-status limitation after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.3; 95% CI, 2.9-6.5; unadjusted 14-day cumulative incidence, 40% vs 8.5%), including the comfort-measures component (3.9), a higher-risk subgroup (4.4), and after acute-physiology adjustment (4.1); the association was concentrated in the first 3 days. Non-prognostic severity language showed no comparable association (hazard ratios, 1.1-1.3). Prognostic language localized almost entirely to the narrative (4.9% of discharge summaries vs 0.015% of radiology reports); command-following was undocumented in 55.7% of summaries, and no final-24-hour GCS motor score was charted in 72.8%. Conclusions. Documented prognostic language after acute brain injury was written in the narrative, not structured fields, and was associated with a subsequent code-status limitation after multivariable adjustment. This observational association cannot establish causation but warrants prospective study.

Background. Routine service databases are attractive sources of training labels for clinical prediction models, but the processes that write those labels are rarely audited before the labels are used. In a deployed community cognitive-screening programme, we audited the routine cognitive-status label, built a matrix of twenty-four model arms over the same patients under a specialist reference standard, and measured what each supervision choice bought or cost. Methods. The study cohort is the 672 individuals whose cognitive status was recorded by a titled (attending-or-above) physician, that record being the reference standard; after holding out one institution entirely, a development panel of 642 individuals at 38 institutions. The routine cognitive-status label these individuals also carry was first audited at the operator level: for each data-entry account we counted diagnoses entered and the proportion recording any impairment, and tested a competing bulk-timestamp explanation. Twenty-four arms span the supervision choices such a programme faces: an incumbent 21-variable logistic regression; local language models (Qwen2.5-1.5B/3B, Qwen3-4B/8B) zero-shot, with chain-of-thought, fine-tuned on physician labels, on routine labels with and without decontamination, or on a proxy scale-band task; preference-optimised (DPO) and reinforcement-trained (GRPO) variants; a proprietary frontier model queried zero-shot; and knowledge distillation of that frontier model into the regression and into the local 4B, using 943 teacher-labelled records from the programme's unlabelled pool. All arms are scored out-of-fold under one five-fold split grouped on registry-resolved institution clusters (no cluster spans a fold); paired contrasts use a 2,000-draw cluster bootstrap. Results. 181 operator accounts (each entering at least 100 diagnoses with zero recorded impairments) account for 45,315 rows - 40.5% of the outcome column; recorded impairment falls monotonically with account volume (15.7% for 1-9 rows to 0.7% for 500-999); a bulk-timestamp explanation was tested and refuted, identifying the write-time column as a migration artefact. Under the specialist standard, no locally fine-tuned arm beat the incumbent regression (AUROC 0.926): physician-label SFT reached 0.924 (4B), DPO 0.881, and GRPO 0.789; the pre-registered two-stage proxy-then-RL recipe was worse than its single-stage contaminated baseline (-0.030, 95% CI -0.077 to -0.004). Chain-of-thought reduced discrimination at every size (-0.072, -0.080, -0.041 at 1.5B/3B/4B; -0.012, n.s., at 8B). The frontier model scored 0.932 (vs. regression +0.007, n.s.). The distilled 4B reached 0.940 - above the incumbent (+0.014, 0.004 to 0.031) and above its own teacher (+0.008, 0.001 to 0.017) - with near-teacher calibration; it reached the teacher's level by 50 teacher labels and changed little beyond 200. Conclusions. The audit and the arm matrix support one deployment recipe: audit the routine label at the operator level before training on it; do not expect fine-tuning, preference optimisation, or reinforcement learning on a few hundred specialist cases to beat a well-calibrated regression; and if a frontier model is available but undeployable, spend a bounded number of queries on it as a labelling instrument and distil. A companion paper uses these frozen predictions to quantify how evaluation design choices compare with model choice.

Study Objective Little is known about where in hospital care for multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) is delivered. We aimed to describe pathways of care (ward transfers) and outcomes for people admitted to hospital for unscheduled care by MLTC status and other key sociodemographic characteristics. Design and setting Analysis of routinely-collected electronic health records from a large acute UK hospital. Participants Adult unscheduled care admissions from 1st July 2018 to 30th June 2019. The presence of two or more of 59 long-term conditions was ascertained using ICD-10 codes from previous hospital discharges. Main outcome measures Markov state transition probabilities were derived for ward moves and compared for MLTC vs no MLTC, age, sex, ethnicity and neighbourhood deprivation. Outcomes (length of stay, death, readmission, move from definitive ward) and time spent in emergency and assessment departments were compared between subgroups. Results A total of 33,252 adults, mean age 56.0 (SD 21.9) years were analysed; 14,834 (42.4%) had MLTC. People with MLTC were more likely to die in hospital (4.2 vs 1.9%, p<0.001), transfer to internal medicine wards or older peoples medicine wards, were less likely to transfer to surgical wards, had longer median length of stay (1.83 vs 0.69 days, p<0.001), stayed longer in acute medical units (15.5 vs 9.6 hours, p<0.001), and were more likely to move from their definitive ward (18.2 vs 16.4%, p=0.002). Conclusion Unscheduled hospital care pathways are complex and differ for people with MLTC, who have worse outcomes and may be less likely to receive optimal care.

Background: The condition of a patient with acute stroke often changes within hours of ICU admission. Prognostic work here targets fixed endpoints predicted from admission data, and trajectory phenotyping assigns one label per patient. We used longitudinal ICU data to identify interpretable dynamic clinical states, characterize transitions between them, and relate the current state to later events. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of 6368 adults with acute stroke in MIMIC IV v3.1. The first 72 h were divided into twelve 6-hour windows, and a hidden Markov model was fitted to 21 neurological, physiological and organ support variables. State number was chosen against criteria fixed before fitting: statistical fit, restart stability, state occupancy and clinical interpretability. Generalized estimating equations related the current state to new mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use within 12 h, and to ICU death within 72 h. Eleven sensitivity analyses assessed the robustness of the state solution. Results: Four states were selected: neurologically preserved-low support, neurological impairment low support, impairment renal dysfunction and impairment-respiratory support (63.3%, 7.8%, 11.8% and 17.1% of windows). Within 72 h, 40.3% of patients changed state at least once, and transitions ran in both directions rather than along a single severity gradient. States were identified without outcome data, yet ICU mortality by last state ranged from 2.9% to 43.9%. Adjusted for age, sex, subtype and Charlson index, the current state remained associated with organ-support escalation and death. State prevalence differed by at most 1.1 percentage points between training and test sets, and 10 of 11 sensitivity analyses gave a stable four-state solution (ARI 0.754 0.955). Conclusions: The early ICU course of acute stroke can be represented as movement among a small number of clinically interpretable states. The representation was reproducible in a held out set and across admission eras, but requires validation in an independent database before any clinical use.

Background: The primary neuroanatomical site of Huntington-s disease (HD) pathology resides in the striatum and its atrophy identifies important disease progression from HD-ISS Stage 0 to Stage 1. Immune-associated proteins may capture variation in HD that is incompletely represented by markers of neuroaxonal injury. Objectives: To determine whether cerebrospinal-fluid myeloperoxidase contributes information about striatal volume loss beyond genetic disease burden and neurofilament light. Methods: Cross-sectional data from 88 persons with HD were analyzed. Cerebrospinal-fluid myeloperoxidase and neurofilament light were measured with a nucleic acid-linked immunosandwich assay. Normalized putamen volume was derived from structural magnetic resonance imaging. Linear regression adjusted for genetic disease burden and sex. Results: Higher neurofilament light was associated with smaller normalized putamen volume (standardized {beta} = -0.322, (P=.0066)). Higher myeloperoxidase was associated with larger normalized putamen volume after adjustment for genetic disease burden, sex, and neurofilament light (standardized {beta} = 0.183, (P=.0386)). Adding myeloperoxidase increased explained variance in striatal loss. Conclusions: Cerebrospinal fluid myeloperoxidase contributed modest incremental information about striatal volume in this cross-sectional sample. Independent longitudinal studies are needed to determine its biological source, temporal behavior, and potential biomarker value. Findings advance efforts to characterize multicomponent biological markers of HD.

Objective To measure the accuracy of clinical coding, clinician review, and a locally deployed large language model (LLM) in identifying alcohol, drug, and self-harm involvement in emergency department (ED) attendances, and quantify prevalence. Design Two-phase diagnostic accuracy study. In a validation week, the identification strategies were assessed against a conflict-adjudicated reference standard (n=2,256); the LLM was then applied to n=105,096 annual attendances at the same site. Setting UK Type 1 Emergency Department treating patients [&ge;]16yrs. Main outcome measures Prevalence quantification compared with the reference standard; sensitivity, specificity, and balanced accuracy of each strategy; monthly identification rates and adjusted annual prevalence. Results The reference standard identified 12.1% of attendances as involving alcohol, drugs, or self-harm (coding 6.0%; clinician 10.0%, LLM 15.6%). LLM balanced accuracy matched or outperformed clinician review in all three domains (alcohol 0.942 v 0.930, p=0.635; drug 0.959 v 0.791, p<0.001; self-harm 0.982 v 0.908, p=0.004). Coding recorded 1.07 domains per identified patient against 1.32 in the reference standard. Adjusted annual prevalence corresponded to 12,890 domain involvements per year not identifiable in coded data. Subdomain classification found at least 81.6% of self-harm attendances required medical assessment for injury or overdose before psychiatric review. Conclusions Clinical coding identified fewer than half of presentations involving alcohol, drugs, and self-harm and rarely captured co-occurring domains; under-recording was present across a full year. A locally deployed LLM generated more complete structured data from existing clinical text within NHS infrastructure, at a scale which is not feasible for manual review.

Background: Evidence regarding delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains sparse. We aimed to identify its predictors and occurrence and evaluate its role in ischemic stroke and functional outcome under treatment with interventional rescue therapy (IRT). Methods: This retrospective single-center study included 628 adults with aSAH from 2014?2023. The primary endpoint was occurrence of refractory DCI (= refractory despite induced hypertension) treated with at least one IRT. Multivariable models evaluated refractory DCI, new ischemic stroke, and poor functional outcome (mRS 3?6) at 6?12 months. Results: Among 628 included patients, 61 who died within 3 days were excluded from DCI analysis; 166/567 (29%) developed refractory DCI. Younger age (OR = 0.98; P<0.001), female sex (OR = 0.57; P=0.007), and higher WFNS grade (OR = 1.18; P=0.011) were independently associated with refractory DCI. Earlier first IRT was associated with longer DCI duration (IRR = 0.88; P<0.001) and more required IRTs (IRR = 0.91; P<0.001). IRT was performed later than day 14 in 29/166 patients (17.5%); none was older than 70 years. Refractory DCI was associated with new ischemic stroke (OR = 4.68; P<0.001) and poor functional outcome (OR = 2.37; P<0.001); earlier first IRT was associated with poor outcome within the refractory DCI subgroup (OR = 0.86; P=0.03). Outcomes after 1?2 IRTs did not differ from those without refractory DCI (P=0.4), whereas ?3 IRTs were associated with poor outcome (P=0.04). Conclusions: Refractory DCI affected 29% of aSAH patients, predominantly younger women and patients with poorer initial neurological status, and extended beyond day 14 in nearly 20% of affected patients, none of whom was older than 70 years. Refractory DCI and earlier onset were associated with poorer radiological and functional outcomes. The absence of a detected outcome difference after 1?2 IRTs suggests that favorable outcomes may remain achievable despite refractory DCI.